Hyde Stakes Preview Kempton 4th December 2024

The Hyde Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. It is run at Kempton Park over a distance of 1 mile (1,609 metres), and it is scheduled to take place each year in late November or early December.

Unibet Hyde Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £25,520 9 runners 1m Standard To Slow RTV (STALLS Inside)

 

race conditions  £45,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 5lb; fillies 9st; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 6lb; fillies 9st 1lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 1 or Group 2 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 1lb Entries  13 pay £225 Penalty value  1st  £25,519.50 2nd  £9,675.00 3rd  £4,842.00 4th  £2,412.00 5th  £1,210.50 6th  £607.50 

 

JBB RATINGS :

(1)DEAR MY FRIEND (120) (2)POKER FACE (115) (3) FLIGHT PLAN (114) 

 

This looks good quality mile listed contest on poly track at Kempton

 

The John & Thady Gosden trained three-year-old colt Roi De France   is a strong favourite at around 7-4 ,after winning class 2 handicap over C&D last month at Kempton, that looked fair effort, getting up on the line after finding plenty trouble in running, though that was only off mark 95, will need plenty more improvement to land this stronger race,with three horses rated 10lb superior on official ratings .Makes little appeal at short price .

 

POKER FACE looks interesting contender here taking big drop in class, having contested G1 & G2 races on his last nine starts, including finishing second three times in group two company this season .Also won the G2 Prix Daniel Wilderstein at Longchamp in OCT 2023 .Lightly raced on All Weather, though did win his only start at Newcastle back in 2022 .Will be suited returning to listed company for first time since winning listed contest at Pontefract in July 2023 .Odds around 7-1 look very fair each-way value .

Of the others Dear My Friend has to respected on his excellent record on All Weather (winning 4 out 5) ,including winning in listed company at Lingfield & Newcastle, though seem lose his way on turf this season , with some very poor efforts.Will be suited returning to All Weather , though has question marks on his first start since September .

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RECOMMENDED BET WEDNESDAY 4TH DECEMBER 2024:

 

POKER FACE 7.10 KEMPTO HYDE LISTED STAKES 

1PT EACH-WAY @ 7-1 BET365

(WINNER SP 9-4 PROFIT +8.40 PTS) 

Japan Cup Preview Sunday 24th Nov 2024

No Luck last Saturday with two seconds at Newcastle , frustrating day with Dubai Honour looking very unlucky loser when repeaterly denied clear run in Churchill Stakes,though that's racing as they say . 

Moving on to Sunday we have cracking group one contest .The 44th running of the Japan Cup from Tokyo .

The Japan Cup (ジャパンカップ, Japan Kappu, JPN G-1) is one of the most prestigious horse races in Japan. It is contested on the last Sunday of November, post time of 15:40 /6.40 GMT at Tokyo Racecourse in Fuchu, Tokyo at a distance of 2400 meters (about 1+1⁄2 miles) run under weight for age conditions with a maximum of 18 horses on turf (grass). With a purse of ¥1,085 million (about US$8.3 million), the Japan Cup is one of the richest races in the world.^[2]

The Japan Cup is an invitational event. During a relatively short history, the race has established itself as an international contest with winners from Japan, North America, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, France, Germany and Italy.

The Japan Racing Association established the Japan Cup as an international invitational race in order for local racehorses to have the opportunity to compete against horses of an international calibre and to promote goodwill within the racing community worldwide.

(Purse value for 2023-onwards running)^[3]

Total JPN ¥1,085,000,000 (about US$8.3 million) with over £3.1 million to the winner and possible £2.37 million bonus for international runners .

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Japan Cup (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £2,784,585 14 runners 1m4f Good To Firm

race conditions  £5,318,556 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 5lb Penalty value  1st  £2,784,584.54 2nd  £1,113,833.82 3rd  £723,991.98 4th  £417,687.68 5th  £278,458.45

 

JBB RATINGS : 

(1) GOLIATH (133) (2) DO DEUCE (130) (2) AUGUSTE RODIN (130) (2) CERVINIA (130)

 

The French raider GOLIATH stands out on his King George V1 form at Ascot in July, that was impressive perfomance beating the subsequent ARC winner Bluestocking and Breeders Cup Turf winner Rebels Romance in good style .Unable to run in the ARC being gelding ,the Japan Cup has been his main target for some time .Made winning return in G2 company at Longchamp last month .Handles most types of ground, having won on good/firm and heavy. Odds around 6-1 look fair each-way value .

 

Six time group one winner Auguste Rodin looks one the main contenders on his best form, though has become bit inconsistent this season, including finishing well beaten 10L fifth behind Goliath in King George,  though did finish creditable second in Irish Champion Stakes behind Economics in September .

 

Best of the Japanese horses look to be Do Deuce & Cervinia .

The three-year-old filly Cervinia looks interesting runner after winning her last races in G1 company , including winning Japanese Oaks over C&D in May .Returned after five month break to win the G1 Shuka Sho in October, has to be respected receiving 9lb from her main rivals, though odds around 11-4 look short enough taking on some top class older male rivals for first time.

Do Deuce  is useful sort on his day, finished fair fourth in this race last year behind Equinox, also won the G1 Tenna Sho last time over 1M 2F, though was soundly beaten twice in France last season on soft ground. Every chance on pick of his form ,though odds around 10-3 dont make much appeal.

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RECOMMENDED BET 

GOLIATH 6.40 TOKYO JAPAN CUP

1PT EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365 (1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 )

(SIXTH TOTE ODDS 148/10 LOSS-2.00PTS )

Newcastle Preview Saturday 16th November 2024

Good start to All Weather season , with nice William Haggas double landed on Wednesday at Lingfield, with over 18pts profit .

Moving on to Saturday, Interesting All Weather card from Newcastle , with two decent looking listed contests to start the card .

The Churchill Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 2 furlongs (2,012 metres). From 2000-2023 it was run at at Lingfield Park in November. However as part of the policy of running down and diminishing the racing programme at Lingfield Park, from 2024 the race will move to Newcastle Racecourse. Given Sir Winston Churchill's links to the area surrounding Lingfield - his residence at Chartwell and his stud at West Park Road Newchapel, on the outskirts of Lingfield village, less than two miles from Lingfield Park - it is a disgrace that this race was moved to the North East of England. However, Arena Racing Corporation know best.

BetUK Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £28,355 10 runners 1m2f42y Standard ITV (STALLS Outside)

 

 

race conditions  £50,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 1lb; fillies 8st 10lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 4lb; fillies 8st 13lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 1 or Group 2 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Entries  11 pay £250 Penalty value  1st  £28,355.00 2nd  £10,750.00 3rd  £5,380.00 4th  £2,680.00 5th  £1,345.00 6th  £675.00 

 

JBB RATINGS : (1) DUBAI HONOUR (117) (1) PEACE MAN (117) (3) TYRRENIAN SEA (114)

 

The William Haggas trained six-year-old gelding DUBAI HONOUR , looks the class act here having already won in G1 company this season in Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud , also finished creditable second in G1 in Germany in September.Lightly raced on All Weather , though bolted up in listed company at Kempton in April .Has to race under 7lb G1 penalty , though should take plenty of beating with this big drop in class .Odds around 9-4 look very fair value .

 

The progressive five-year-old Peaceman  looks the main danger , after finishing close second in listed company at Newmarket two weeks ago , that was decent effort only beaten nose behind the 112 rated Bolster . Gets handy 7lb pull in the weights with Dubai Honour , though not raced on All Weather since his debut in 2023 . Interesting contender .

 

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The Golden Rose Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. From 2007-2023 it was run at Lingfield Park over a distance of 6 furlongs and 1 yard (1,028 metres), and it is scheduled to take place each year in November. However as part of the policy of running down and diminishing the racing programme at Lingfield Park, from 2024 the race will move to Newcastle Racecourse.^[1]

JBB FORM RATINGS :

(1) ANNAF (118) (2) WILLIAM TWEE (116) (3) NIGHT RAIDER (113) (3) WILTSHIRE (113) 

 

The five-year-old entire  ANNAF has excellent record on All Weather ,winning 5 out 11 (23111724121) , including winning twice here at Newcastle. Has proven record in higher grade , winning in G2 & G3  company ,including winning the big 2 million dollar Saudi turf Sprint at Riyadh in February . Should go well returning to listed company .Odds around 3-1 or bigger look solid value .

 

William Twee looks intresting contender on pick of is All Weather form , including winning this race last year at Lingfield , also finished good third over C&D in G3 Chipchase Stakes at Newcastsle in June . 

Of the others C&D winner Wiltshire has each-way claims for in-form William Haggas stable , has unbeaten record on All Weather 3 out 3 , though is 0 out 3 in listed & group company, can't be ruled out in open looking sprint .

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RECOMMENDED BETS SATURDAY 16TH NOVEMBER 

DUBAI HONOUR 3.15 NEWCASTLE CHURCHILL LISTED STAKES 

2PTS WIN @ 9-4 WILLIAM HILLS & SKYBET 

(SECOND SP 13-8 LOSS 2.00 PTS )

ANNAF 3.48 NEWCASTLE GOLDEN ROSE LISTED STAKES 

1PT WIN @ 10-3 SKYBET 

(SECOND SP 10-3 LOSS 1.00 PT )

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0.50 PTS WIN DOUBLE @ 13.08-1 SKYBET 

SECOND & SECOND LOSS 0.50 PTS 

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TOTAL LOSS 3.50 PTS

Lingfield Preview Wednesday 13th November 2024

The River Eden Fillies' Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to mares and fillies aged three years or over. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 5 furlongs (2,615 metres) at Lingfield Park in late October or early November. The race was first run in 2006.

BetMGM River Eden EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £36,862 12 runners 1m5f Standard SKY (STALLS Inside)

 

 

race conditions  £65,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ which have not won a Group 1 after March 31st, 2024 Weights  3yo 9st; 4yo+ 9st 5lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 5lb; of a Group 2 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo 5lb Entries  15 pay £325 Penalty value  1st  £36,861.50 2nd  £13,975.00 3rd  £6,994.00 4th  £3,484.00 5th  £1,748.50 6th  £877.50 

 

JBB FORM RATINGS :

(1) SEA THEME (108) (2) SCARLET O ' HARA (106) (3) MADAM CELESTE  (104)

 

The William Haggas trained 4 year old Sea The Stars filly SEA THEME  stands out on form here dropping down in class , has unbeaten record in listed company 2 out 2 , including bolting up in 12f listed race in France back in July,hasn't been disgraced in G1 company on her last three starts ,including only beaten 2l in G1 Prix de Royallieu at Longchamp on Arc Weekend.Will be suited returning to listed company , stable also have excellent record in race ,winning the race four times since 2017 .Odds 9-4 or bigger look fair price .

 

The Irish raider Madam Celeste  looks the main danger , after finishing good second in 10.5F Listed contest at Dundalk last time .Looks open to further improvement on All Weather ,though is unproven over this longer trip in first time blinkers .

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The Fleur De Lys Fillies' Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to mares and fillies aged three years or over. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 1 yard (1,610 metres) at Lingfield Park in late October or early November.The race was first run in 2003.

BetMGM Fleur De Lys EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £28,355 12 runners 1m1y Standard SKY (STALLS Outside)

 

race conditions  £50,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ which have not won a Group 1 after March 31st, 2024 Weights  3yo 9st; 4yo+ 9st 2lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024 a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 5lb; of a Group 2 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 2lb Entries  18 pay £250 Penalty value  1st  £28,355.00 2nd  £10,750.00 3rd  £5,380.00 4th  £2,680.00 5th  £1,345.00 6th  £675.00 

 

JBB FORM RATINGS :

(1) FALLEN ANGEL (109) (2) DOOM (107) (3) JULIA AUGUSTA (106) (3) IKEN (106)

 

The Charlie Johnston trained Fallen Angel  is top rated on official BHA ratings and on my own private ratings , after showing some useful form as two-year-old , including winning the G3 Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot , though is unproven over this mile distance, after finishing well beaten 13th in 1000 Guineas at Newmarket back in May .Will be suited by this drop in class , though this longer distance and 6 month absence has to be major concern .

The consistent four-year-old Dubawi filly DOOM, looks solid here returning to listed company .Has been running with credit in better races on turf this season , including finishing good second in G3 Valliant Stakes at Ascot in July behind the useful G1 winner Friendly Soul .Drops down to listed company for first time this season ,having won listed contest in France around this time last year .Trainer William Haggas also has excellent record in race having won race five times since 2012.Odds 7-2 or bigger look solid value .

Of the others French raider Iken has each-way claims on pick her form , including finishing good third in listed company last time .

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RECOMMENDED BETS WEDNESDAY 13TH NOVEMBER 

SEA THEME 2.07 LINGFIELD (RIVER EDEN LISTED STAKES)

2PTS WIN @ 9-4 WILLIAM HILLS .

(WINNER SP 6-5 PROFIT +4.50)

DOOM  2.40 LINGFIELD (FLEUR DE LYS LISTED STAKES)

2PTS WIN @ 7-2 WILLIAM HILLS 

(WINNER SP 5-2 PROFIT +7.00 )

(STAKING PLAN FOR SINGLE BETS (1 TO 3PTS  )

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0.50PTS WIN DOUBLE @ 13.62-1 WILLIAM HILLS

(WINNER ) (WINNER ) PROFIT +6.81 PTS 

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STAKED 4.50 PTS : RETURN 22.81 PTS :TOTAL PROFIT +18.31 PTS  

 

(STAKING PLAN FOR MULTI BETS (0.50 PTS LEVEL STAKES )

Doncaster Preview Saturday 9th November 2024

The Wentworth Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. It is run at Doncaster over a distance of 6 furlongs and 2 yards (1,209 metres), and it is scheduled to take place each year in November. Before 1995 the race was known as the Remembrance Day Stakes.

Livescore Bet Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £34,026 11 runners 6f2y Soft ITV (STALLS Centre)

 

 

race conditions  £60,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ which have not won a Group 1 Pattern race after March 31st 2024 Weights  colts & geldings 9st 5lb; fillies 9st Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 2 race 7lb Entries  15 pay £300 Penalty value  1st  £34,026.00 2nd  £12,900.00 3rd  £6,456.00 4th  £3,216.00 5th  £1,614.00 6th  £810.00 

 

JBB FORM RATINGS :

(1) ROOM SERVICE (116) (2) ZOUM ZOUM (114) (2) TEN BOB TONY (114)

 

The Kevin Ryan trained three-year-old colt ROOM SERVICE , should go well after finishing excellent second in 22 runner Coral Sprint Trophy at York last month .That was decent effort under top weight , finishing fast from off the pace. Had previously won 6F Class two handicap at Pontefract.Has good record on soft ground (211) , including winning the valuable £300K two-year-old sales race at Doncaster over 6.5f last season. Odds 5-2 or bigger look solid value .

 

Zoum Zoum  looks the main danger, after winning class two handicap over C&D at Doncaster last time , had previously won listed contest at back end of last season at Saint-Cloud .Best form on soft surface .Looks interesting contender .

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The Gillies Fillies' Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to fillies and mares aged three years or older. It is run at Doncaster, over a distance of 1 mile, 2 furlongs and 43 yards (2,051 metres), and it is scheduled to take place each year in November.The race was first run in 2003.

Virgin Bet Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £35,520 12 runners 1m2f43y Soft ITV (STALLS Inside)

 

race conditions  £60,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ fillies & mares, which are EBF eligible, which have not won a Group 1 Pattern race after March 31st 2024 Weights  3yo 9st 1lb; 4yo+ 9st 4lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 2 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Entries  21 pay £300 Penalty value  1st  £35,520.00 2nd  £13,434.00 3rd  £6,714.00 4th  £3,354.00

JBB FORM RATINGS :

(1) DANIELLE (112) (2) DANCING RAIN (109) (3) TREASURE (103)

 

The well bred Cracksmen filly DANIELLE, looks to have her ideal conditions here (10F on soft ground ).Was impressive 12L winner at Wetherby earlier in season on similar conditions .Ran a career best last time when finishing creditable second in G3 St Simon Stakes on heavy ground at Newbury .Will be suited by this drop in class in this fillies & mares Listed contest . Odds around 9-4 or bigger look fair value .

Of the others the Charlie Appleby trained Dancing Rain looks the most interesting , after winning listed contest at Newbury in May, though not raced since finishing last of 12 in G2 Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot .Will need to bounce back to form under 3lb listed penalty , though can't be ruled out for top connections .

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RECOMMENDED BETS SATURDAY 9TH NOVEMBER 2024 :

 

ROOM SERVICE  1.20 DONCASTER (WENTWORTH LISTED STAKES)

2PTS WIN @ 5-2 PADDY POWER & BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK 

(WINNER SP 10-3 PROFIT + 5.00 PTS )

DANIELLE 3.10 DONCASTER (GILLIES FILLIES LISTED STAKES)

2PTS WIN @ 9-4 BET365.BETVICTOR.BETFRED 

(SECOND SP 7-4 LOSS -2.00 PTS ) 

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0.50PTS WIN DOUBLE @ 9.56-1 BET365 

(WINNER & SECOND LOSS -0.50 PTS )