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Thursday, January 02, 2025

Zabeel Mile Preview Meydan (Friday 3rd Jan 2025 )

The Zabeel Mile, is a horse race run over a distance of 1,600 metres (one mile) on turf in early January at Meydan Racecourse in Dubai. The race is named after a locality in Western Dubai.

It was first contested in 2007 at Nad Al Sheba Racecourse before being transferred to Meydan in 2010. 

 The Zabeel Mile began as a Listed race. The race was elevated to Group 3 level in 2009 and became a Group 2 event in 2011.  

Zabeel Mile Sponsored By Phi Advertising (Group 2) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £108,974 9 runners 1m Good To Firm RTV
 
race conditions  £181,624 guaranteed For  northern hemisphere 4yo+ and southern hemisphere 3yo Penalty value  1st  £108,974.36 2nd  £36,324.79 3rd  £18,162.39 4th  £9,081.20 5th  £5,448.72 6th  £3,632.48 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS :
 
 (1) OTTOMAN FLEET (121) (2) SAN DONATO (119) (3) NOBLE DYNASTY (118)
 
The Charlie Appleby trained six-year-old gelding Ottoman Fleet will be popular after winning twice at Churchill Downs in June, including winning in G2 company, though that didn't look the strongest G2 contest beating Chasing The Crown by 1.5L ,was subsequently well beaten favourite in G1 Saratoga handicap in August (Not raced since). Has plenty of form here at Meydan, including finishing second in G1 Jebel Hatta here last season, though has yet to win here at Meydan in six starts, including being beaten favourite four times.Clearly has the form to win a race of this type, though not for me at short price.
 
Last years winner SAN DONATO should go well after finishing promising second here at Meydan two weeks ago in 7f listed contest behind Native Approach, on first start for trainer Michael Costa, that was fair effort on first run of the season ,over trip on the short side .Had some useful form last season , including good winner of this race last season and finishing creditable second in 9f G2 Singspiel Stakes behind Naval Power. Odds 4-1 or above look very fair each-way value .
 
Of the others the Charlie Appleby second string Noble Dynasty looks the most interesting on pick of his Newmarket form ,including winning G3 Criterion Stakes last season, will need bounce back after two poor runs at end last turf season , though the return to mile should suit . 
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RECOMMENDED BET FRIDAY 3RD JANUARY
 
SAN DONATO 3.55 MEYDAN ZABEEL MILE 
1PT EACH-WAY @ 9-2 BET365  
(UNPLACED SP 7-1 LOSS 2.00 PTS ) 

Monday, December 30, 2024

Quebec Stakes & Bet UK Acca Club Handicap Preview (Tue 31st December 2024 )

The Quebec Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 2 furlongs (2,012 metres) at Lingfield Park in December.The race was first run in 2007,with Dubai Warrior the only horse to win the race twice in (2019) & (2021) 

BetUK Quebec Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £28,355 6 runners 1m2f Standard SKY (STALLS Inside)


race conditions  £50,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 8lb; fillies 9st 3lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 10lb; fillies 9st 5lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 1 or Group 2 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 5yo+ 2lb Entries  6 pay £250 Penalty value  1st  £28,355.00 2nd  £10,750.00 3rd  £5,380.00 4th  £2,680.00 5th  £1,345.00 6th  £675.00
JBB RATINGS : (1) ROYAL CHAMPION (116) (2) TYRRHENIAN SEA (110) (3) PRIDE OF AMERICA (108)
Small but select field for final flat listed race of the year, the 10f Quebec Stakes on poly track at Lingfield.
The Karl Burke trained six-year-old gelding Royal Champion is 7lb clear on official ratings, having been running with credit in International races in Australia & Canada , including finishing 2nd in G2 Crystal Mile at Moonee Valley in October, also finished good second in Woodbine International in 2023 .Had previously won twice in listed company in UK for Roger Varian .Looks interesting runner on first start for Karl Burke, though odds around 11-10 look very short for horse unproven on All Weather surfaces .
Last years winner TYRRHENIAN SEA  goes particularly well here on poly track at Lingfield, including winning this race last year in impressive style. Also finished creditable second in G3 Winter Derby in 2023 at Lingfield, behind the useful four time G1 winner Lord North .Made promising return in Churchill Stakes at Newcastle last month ,finishing staying on 4L third to The Foxes & Dubai Honour, that looked strong listed form with winner & second both running with credit in valuable group one Hong Kong international races at Sha Tin earlier this month .Odds around 9-4 look solid value .
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Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) Winner £13,190 8 runners 5f6y Standard SKY (STALLS Outside)
 
race conditions  £25,200 guaranteed For  3yo+ Rated 86-105 (also open to such horses rated 106 or higher; such horses rated 85 and below are also eligible - see Note below) Weights  highest weight 9st 9lb Minimum weights: 8-4; Penalties  after December 21st, each race won, 3yo 6lb; 4-6yo 5lb; 7yo+ 4lb; NOTE: Any horse rated above 105 shall initially be treated as having that rating and the highest weight allotted shall be 9st 9lb. Subsequently, the excess over 105 in any rating shall be allotted to that horse without limitation to the highest weight to be carried. Rosario's Handicap Mark  100 Entries  9 pay £126 Penalty value  1st  £13,189.68 2nd  £6,189.12 3rd  £3,092.04 4th  £1,547.28 5th  £771.12 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS : (1) BEDFORD FLYER (102) (2) KYLIAN (101) (2) SOMMELIER (101) 
 
Decent looking class two sprint handicap on poly track at Lingfield, with the inform Archie Watson trained  three year old gelding Kylian put in favourite at around 2-1, after finishing good second in class two handicap at Southwell earlier this month behind the useful Equilaterial .Had previously won class two handicap at Newcastle in November off 8lb lower mark , has to be respected though this sharp five furlongs doesn't look ideal,having shown his best form at Newcastle over stiffer five furlongs .

The Michael Appleby trained six year old gelding BEDFORD FLYER should go well after finishing close second in class 3 handicap at Southwell earlier this month , goes particuraly well here at Lingfield (5212411) ,including winning three times over C&D .Up 2lb for that nose second at Southwell last time , though still looks fairly handicapped off mark 92 , having won off higher marks in the past .Odds around 4-1 look solid each-way value in this eight runner race .
 
Of the others Sommelier  looks the most interesting , had some useful form earlier in season, finishing good second behind Big Evs in listed race at York ,also won twice on All Weather last season as two-year-old, will need bounce back after poor run at Kempton last time , though can't be ruled out off fair mark 95 .
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RECOMMENDED BETS TUESDAY 31ST DECEMBER 2024 :
 
BEDFORD FLYER 1.14 LINGFIELD 5F CLASS 2 (0-105) HANDICAP 
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 4-1 LADBROKES.SKYBET 
(THIRD SP 10-3 LOSS -0.10 ) 

TYRRHENIAN SEA 1.44 LINGFIELD 10F QUEBEC LISTED STAKES 
1PT WIN @ 9-4 LADBROKES.SKYBET
(SECOND SP 6-4 LOSS -1.00 )
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0.25 EACH-WAY DOUBLE  @ 15.25-1 LADBROKES.SKYBET (4-1) & (9-4)
(THIRD & SECOND ) PROFIT +0.20 )
 
(TOTAL STAKED 2.50 PTS) (RETURN 1.60 PTS)( LOSS 0.90 PTS )

Tuesday, December 03, 2024

Hyde Stakes Preview Kempton 4th December 2024

The Hyde Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. It is run at Kempton Park over a distance of 1 mile (1,609 metres), and it is scheduled to take place each year in late November or early December.

Unibet Hyde Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £25,520 9 runners 1m Standard To Slow RTV (STALLS Inside)
 
race conditions  £45,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 5lb; fillies 9st; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 6lb; fillies 9st 1lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 1 or Group 2 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 1lb Entries  13 pay £225 Penalty value  1st  £25,519.50 2nd  £9,675.00 3rd  £4,842.00 4th  £2,412.00 5th  £1,210.50 6th  £607.50 
 
JBB RATINGS :
(1)DEAR MY FRIEND (120) (2)POKER FACE (115) (3) FLIGHT PLAN (114) 
 
This looks good quality mile listed contest on poly track at Kempton
 
The John & Thady Gosden trained three-year-old colt Roi De France   is a strong favourite at around 7-4 ,after winning class 2 handicap over C&D last month at Kempton, that looked fair effort, getting up on the line after finding plenty trouble in running, though that was only off mark 95, will need plenty more improvement to land this stronger race,with three horses rated 10lb superior on official ratings .Makes little appeal at short price .
 
POKER FACE looks interesting contender here taking big drop in class, having contested G1 & G2 races on his last nine starts, including finishing second three times in group two company this season .Also won the G2 Prix Daniel Wilderstein at Longchamp in OCT 2023 .Lightly raced on All Weather, though did win his only start at Newcastle back in 2022 .Will be suited returning to listed company for first time since winning listed contest at Pontefract in July 2023 .Odds around 7-1 look very fair each-way value .

Of the others Dear My Friend has to respected on his excellent record on All Weather (winning 4 out 5) ,including winning in listed company at Lingfield & Newcastle, though seem lose his way on turf this season , with some very poor efforts.Will be suited returning to All Weather , though has question marks on his first start since September .
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RECOMMENDED BET WEDNESDAY 4TH DECEMBER 2024:
 
POKER FACE 7.10 KEMPTO HYDE LISTED STAKES 
1PT EACH-WAY @ 7-1 BET365
(WINNER SP 9-4 PROFIT +8.40 PTS) 

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Japan Cup Preview Sunday 24th Nov 2024

No Luck last Saturday with two seconds at Newcastle , frustrating day with Dubai Honour looking very unlucky loser when repeaterly denied clear run in Churchill Stakes,though that's racing as they say . 

Moving on to Sunday we have cracking group one contest .The 44th running of the Japan Cup from Tokyo .

The Japan Cup (ジャパンカップ, Japan Kappu, JPN G-1) is one of the most prestigious horse races in Japan. It is contested on the last Sunday of November, post time of 15:40 /6.40 GMT at Tokyo Racecourse in Fuchu, Tokyo at a distance of 2400 meters (about 1+12 miles) run under weight for age conditions with a maximum of 18 horses on turf (grass). With a purse of ¥1,085 million (about US$8.3 million), the Japan Cup is one of the richest races in the world.[2]

The Japan Cup is an invitational event. During a relatively short history, the race has established itself as an international contest with winners from Japan, North America, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, France, Germany and Italy.

The Japan Racing Association established the Japan Cup as an international invitational race in order for local racehorses to have the opportunity to compete against horses of an international calibre and to promote goodwill within the racing community worldwide.

(Purse value for 2023-onwards running)[3]

Total JPN ¥1,085,000,000 (about US$8.3 million) with over £3.1 million to the winner and possible £2.37 million bonus for international runners .

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Japan Cup (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £2,784,585 14 runners 1m4f Good To Firm

race conditions  £5,318,556 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 5lb Penalty value  1st  £2,784,584.54 2nd  £1,113,833.82 3rd  £723,991.98 4th  £417,687.68 5th  £278,458.45
 
JBB RATINGS : 
(1) GOLIATH (133) (2) DO DEUCE (130) (2) AUGUSTE RODIN (130) (2) CERVINIA (130)
 
The French raider GOLIATH stands out on his King George V1 form at Ascot in July, that was impressive perfomance beating the subsequent ARC winner Bluestocking and Breeders Cup Turf winner Rebels Romance in good style .Unable to run in the ARC being gelding ,the Japan Cup has been his main target for some time .Made winning return in G2 company at Longchamp last month .Handles most types of ground, having won on good/firm and heavy. Odds around 6-1 look fair each-way value .
 
Six time group one winner Auguste Rodin looks one the main contenders on his best form, though has become bit inconsistent this season, including finishing well beaten 10L fifth behind Goliath in King George,  though did finish creditable second in Irish Champion Stakes behind Economics in September .
 
Best of the Japanese horses look to be Do Deuce & Cervinia .

The three-year-old filly Cervinia looks interesting runner after winning her last races in G1 company , including winning Japanese Oaks over C&D in May .Returned after five month break to win the G1 Shuka Sho in October, has to be respected receiving 9lb from her main rivals, though odds around 11-4 look short enough taking on some top class older male rivals for first time.

Do Deuce  is useful sort on his day, finished fair fourth in this race last year behind Equinox, also won the G1 Tenna Sho last time over 1M 2F, though was soundly beaten twice in France last season on soft ground. Every chance on pick of his form ,though odds around 10-3 dont make much appeal.
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RECOMMENDED BET 

GOLIATH 6.40 TOKYO JAPAN CUP
1PT EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365 (1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 )
(SIXTH TOTE ODDS 148/10 LOSS-2.00PTS )

Thursday, November 14, 2024

Newcastle Preview Saturday 16th November 2024

Good start to All Weather season , with nice William Haggas double landed on Wednesday at Lingfield, with over 18pts profit .

Moving on to Saturday, Interesting All Weather card from Newcastle , with two decent looking listed contests to start the card .

The Churchill Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 2 furlongs (2,012 metres). From 2000-2023 it was run at at Lingfield Park in November. However as part of the policy of running down and diminishing the racing programme at Lingfield Park, from 2024 the race will move to Newcastle Racecourse. Given Sir Winston Churchill's links to the area surrounding Lingfield - his residence at Chartwell and his stud at West Park Road Newchapel, on the outskirts of Lingfield village, less than two miles from Lingfield Park - it is a disgrace that this race was moved to the North East of England. However, Arena Racing Corporation know best.

BetUK Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £28,355 10 runners 1m2f42y Standard ITV (STALLS Outside)
 
 
race conditions  £50,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 1lb; fillies 8st 10lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 4lb; fillies 8st 13lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 1 or Group 2 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Entries  11 pay £250 Penalty value  1st  £28,355.00 2nd  £10,750.00 3rd  £5,380.00 4th  £2,680.00 5th  £1,345.00 6th  £675.00 
 
JBB RATINGS : (1) DUBAI HONOUR (117) (1) PEACE MAN (117) (3) TYRRENIAN SEA (114)
 
The William Haggas trained six-year-old gelding DUBAI HONOUR , looks the class act here having already won in G1 company this season in Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud , also finished creditable second in G1 in Germany in September.Lightly raced on All Weather , though bolted up in listed company at Kempton in April .Has to race under 7lb G1 penalty , though should take plenty of beating with this big drop in class .Odds around 9-4 look very fair value .
 
The progressive five-year-old Peaceman  looks the main danger , after finishing close second in listed company at Newmarket two weeks ago , that was decent effort only beaten nose behind the 112 rated Bolster . Gets handy 7lb pull in the weights with Dubai Honour , though not raced on All Weather since his debut in 2023 . Interesting contender .
 
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The Golden Rose Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. From 2007-2023 it was run at Lingfield Park over a distance of 6 furlongs and 1 yard (1,028 metres), and it is scheduled to take place each year in November. However as part of the policy of running down and diminishing the racing programme at Lingfield Park, from 2024 the race will move to Newcastle Racecourse.[1]

JBB FORM RATINGS :
(1) ANNAF (118) (2) WILLIAM TWEE (116) (3) NIGHT RAIDER (113) (3) WILTSHIRE (113) 
 
The five-year-old entire  ANNAF has excellent record on All Weather ,winning 5 out 11 (23111724121) , including winning twice here at Newcastle. Has proven record in higher grade , winning in G2 & G3  company ,including winning the big 2 million dollar Saudi turf Sprint at Riyadh in February . Should go well returning to listed company .Odds around 3-1 or bigger look solid value .
 
William Twee looks intresting contender on pick of is All Weather form , including winning this race last year at Lingfield , also finished good third over C&D in G3 Chipchase Stakes at Newcastsle in June . 

Of the others C&D winner Wiltshire has each-way claims for in-form William Haggas stable , has unbeaten record on All Weather 3 out 3 , though is 0 out 3 in listed & group company, can't be ruled out in open looking sprint .
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RECOMMENDED BETS SATURDAY 16TH NOVEMBER 

DUBAI HONOUR 3.15 NEWCASTLE CHURCHILL LISTED STAKES 
2PTS WIN @ 9-4 WILLIAM HILLS & SKYBET 
(SECOND SP 13-8 LOSS 2.00 PTS )

ANNAF 3.48 NEWCASTLE GOLDEN ROSE LISTED STAKES 
1PT WIN @ 10-3 SKYBET 
(SECOND SP 10-3 LOSS 1.00 PT )
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0.50 PTS WIN DOUBLE @ 13.08-1 SKYBET 
SECOND & SECOND LOSS 0.50 PTS 
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TOTAL LOSS 3.50 PTS