Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Lingfield Preview Wednesday 13th November 2024

The River Eden Fillies' Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to mares and fillies aged three years or over. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 5 furlongs (2,615 metres) at Lingfield Park in late October or early November. The race was first run in 2006.

BetMGM River Eden EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £36,862 12 runners 1m5f Standard SKY (STALLS Inside)
 
 
race conditions  £65,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ which have not won a Group 1 after March 31st, 2024 Weights  3yo 9st; 4yo+ 9st 5lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 5lb; of a Group 2 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo 5lb Entries  15 pay £325 Penalty value  1st  £36,861.50 2nd  £13,975.00 3rd  £6,994.00 4th  £3,484.00 5th  £1,748.50 6th  £877.50 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS :
(1) SEA THEME (108) (2) SCARLET O ' HARA (106) (3) MADAM CELESTE  (104)
 
The William Haggas trained 4 year old Sea The Stars filly SEA THEME  stands out on form here dropping down in class , has unbeaten record in listed company 2 out 2 , including bolting up in 12f listed race in France back in July,hasn't been disgraced in G1 company on her last three starts ,including only beaten 2l in G1 Prix de Royallieu at Longchamp on Arc Weekend.Will be suited returning to listed company , stable also have excellent record in race ,winning the race four times since 2017 .Odds 9-4 or bigger look fair price .
 
The Irish raider Madam Celeste  looks the main danger , after finishing good second in 10.5F Listed contest at Dundalk last time .Looks open to further improvement on All Weather ,though is unproven over this longer trip in first time blinkers .
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The Fleur De Lys Fillies' Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to mares and fillies aged three years or over. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 1 yard (1,610 metres) at Lingfield Park in late October or early November.The race was first run in 2003.


BetMGM Fleur De Lys EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £28,355 12 runners 1m1y Standard SKY (STALLS Outside)
 
race conditions  £50,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ which have not won a Group 1 after March 31st, 2024 Weights  3yo 9st; 4yo+ 9st 2lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024 a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 5lb; of a Group 2 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 2lb Entries  18 pay £250 Penalty value  1st  £28,355.00 2nd  £10,750.00 3rd  £5,380.00 4th  £2,680.00 5th  £1,345.00 6th  £675.00 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS :
(1) FALLEN ANGEL (109) (2) DOOM (107) (3) JULIA AUGUSTA (106) (3) IKEN (106)
 
The Charlie Johnston trained Fallen Angel  is top rated on official BHA ratings and on my own private ratings , after showing some useful form as two-year-old , including winning the G3 Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot , though is unproven over this mile distance, after finishing well beaten 13th in 1000 Guineas at Newmarket back in May .Will be suited by this drop in class , though this longer distance and 6 month absence has to be major concern .

The consistent four-year-old Dubawi filly DOOM, looks solid here returning to listed company .Has been running with credit in better races on turf this season , including finishing good second in G3 Valliant Stakes at Ascot in July behind the useful G1 winner Friendly Soul .Drops down to listed company for first time this season ,having won listed contest in France around this time last year .Trainer William Haggas also has excellent record in race having won race five times since 2012.Odds 7-2 or bigger look solid value .

Of the others French raider Iken has each-way claims on pick her form , including finishing good third in listed company last time .
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RECOMMENDED BETS WEDNESDAY 13TH NOVEMBER 

SEA THEME 2.07 LINGFIELD (RIVER EDEN LISTED STAKES)
2PTS WIN @ 9-4 WILLIAM HILLS .
(WINNER SP 6-5 PROFIT +4.50)

DOOM  2.40 LINGFIELD (FLEUR DE LYS LISTED STAKES)
2PTS WIN @ 7-2 WILLIAM HILLS 
(WINNER SP 5-2 PROFIT +7.00 )

(STAKING PLAN FOR SINGLE BETS (1 TO 3PTS  )
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0.50PTS WIN DOUBLE @ 13.62-1 WILLIAM HILLS
(WINNER ) (WINNER ) PROFIT +6.81 PTS 
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STAKED 4.50 PTS : RETURN 22.81 PTS :TOTAL PROFIT +18.31 PTS  
 
(STAKING PLAN FOR MULTI BETS (0.50 PTS LEVEL STAKES )

3 comments:

  1. Good start, Jerry. Sea Theme well backed and wins.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Well done. Perfect 2/2. Nice work.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks ,Nice double with Doom winning .

    ReplyDelete