Derby preview

DERBY PREVIEW:
Recent/Past Form
9 of 10 winners had had 3 to 5 career starts
10 of 10 winners had run 1 or 2 times that season
10 of 10 winners finished in the first 2 on all starts that season
8 of 10 winners won last time out (2 exceptions finished 2nd in 2000 Guineas)
10 of 10 winners achieved an RPR of 115+ last time out
10 of 10 winners ran in the last 35 days
6 of 10 winners won a group 1 as a 2yo (other 4 didn’t run in a group 1 as a 2yo)
7 of 10 winners (last 5) had won a group 1
10 of 10 winners had won a group race
10 of 10 winners had won at the highest grade they’d run in
10 of 10 winners had won over 7F+ as a 2yo
7 of 10 winners had won over 1M 2F (all 3 exceptions finished 1st or 2nd in 2000 Guineas)

9 of 10 winners made their debut over 7F or 8F at a group 1 track

Summary

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

• By a group 1 winning sire with a stamina index of 8.6+

• Born before 07/04/2007

• Made debut over 7F or 8F at a group 1 track

• Had run in the past 35 days

• Won last time out (or finished 2nd in 2000 Guineas)

• Won the Dewhurst or Racing Post Trophy as a 2yo

• Won Dante, Derrinstown or placed in 2000 Guineas last time out

• Won a group race

• Won a group 1 (or having first try in a group 1)

• Won over 7F+ as a 2yo and 1M 2F as a 3yo

• Trained by A O’Brien, M Stoute or J Oxx

•Priced 7/1 or below

VERDICT

1)JAN VERMEER

2)MIDAS TOUCH

3)AZMEEL