SECRECY could only finish disappointing 4TH in listed Marshall stakes ,behind his seemingly unfancied stablemate Kingsfort a 10-1 shot ,SECRECY was very well supported in market 11-4 into 15-8 ,though in the race itself was well of pace in the early stages,and never really picked up, finishing well beaten 4TH. Loss -£150 / 1.50 PTS
Sunday we have just the one flat card on poly track at Lingfield ,though there looks interesting 1 mile 2f claimer at 2.15
1 MILE 2F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 2.15
LANG SHINING : Excellent record in claimers this season winning 6 times since June.Won over C/D at Lingfield last month beating fair sort for this grade Orchard Supreme by 1.25 lenghs.Goes well for Sophie Doyle and should go well.
VERDICT :LANG SHINING & AHLAWY look very closely matched at weights. AHLAWY won class 4 handicap last time at Wolverhampton, though not the most consistent of performers and not the greatest record in claimers 1 win from 6 starts.C/D winner LANG SHINING is more reliable sort and has such good record in claimers 6 wins from 9 starts.At the prices LANG SHINING looks the better value bet at around 7-2 mark.
LANG SHINING 2.15 LINGFIELD
Slightly shorter odds than I was expecting, though still worth bet at 3-1
£50 EACH /WAY / 0.50 PTS EACH/ WAY
@ 3-1 BET 365 ,STAN JAMES ,PADDY POWER.
Updated 11.15 am
Jerry,
ReplyDeleteSeems to be the periods when our selected horses simply are with out run when the real part of the race takes place. Plenty of disappointing efforts this month in my wagering. I am striving for some consistency in November. All in all I am having fun.
Looking over your yearly profit sends a clear message of your expertise.
By the way have you decided to make level bets for the upcoming year?
Best to you
Jake
Thanks Jake.
ReplyDeleteYes October has been very much up and down month to say the least, and no real consistency.
In the past October has normally been my worst month of year,so not too concerned if I finish slightly down on month.
I'm always looking long term, short term losses don't really concern me,it doesn't matter how good you are there are always going be losing months.
Yes I have decided from 1ST November to go level
bets which will be £200 / 2PTS per bet.
Jerry.