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Saturday, November 20, 2010

Saturdays best bets

Fridays bet PHASE SHIFT was subject too big gamble after being available at 5-1 in the morning, had strong support all day going off 5-2 chance, the race itself was run in very thick fog and it was difficult to see anything till inside final furlong, PHASE SHIFT ran ok ,though she could only manage 3RD place behind 14-1 outsider Islesman, at least it was not losing race with money back.

Saturday two flat cards,going concentrate on Lingfield which stage quite decent meeting including two good listed races and we have two bets.


1 MILE SELLING STAKES CLASS 6 LINGFIELD 1.25 


IVAN'S A STAR : Consistent sort, finishing 2ND on his last two starts ,only just touched off in seller over 7f  at Southwell on Tuesday ,also finished good 2ND in handicap at Kempton over 8f behind REE'S RASCAL winner again since,should go well in very weak race.


VERDICT :SIR LUNCHALOT has shown the best form here ,winning twice this season ,though all his form is over shorter distances and has major stamina doubts.Stablemate IVAN'S A STAR is in good form and with proven stamina at 8f  looks the better value at around 3-1.


1MILE 2F LISTED STAKES CLASS 1 LINGFIELD 3.05


NIDEEB : Impressive 7 lengh winner last time in condition race at Kempton over 1 mile 2f beating Chock a block in fast time ,also finished fair third behind Timepiece in listed race at Newmarket at end last month,Looks improving 3-Y-0 & should go well.


VERDICT : SUMMIT SURGE is the class horse here after winning G2 race at York in July and finishing fair 5TH in G1 Arlington million in U.S.A ,though doesn't face easy task here trying concede 10LB to NIDEEB & all his best form has been on turf,only (1 from 6 on polytrack).NIDEEB looks open to plenty improvement and getting 10LB looks the value bet.




IVAN'S A STAR 1.25 LINGFIELD 


£100 EACH-WAY - 1 PT EACH-WAY


@ 11-4 BET365 


NIDEEB 3.05 LINGFIELD


£100 EACH-WAY - 1PT EACH -WAY


@ 7-2 BET365.VICTOR CHANDLER


* updated at 10.35 











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