Going concentrate on just one race, Group one St James Palace stakes over 1 mile Where the 2-5 favourite Frankel cannot be opposed after destroying the field in 2000 guineas at Newmarket last month.The market I'm interested in here is betting W/O Frankel which most bookmakers have priced up .
ST JAMES PALACE STAKES BETTING W/O FRANKEL 3.45 ASCOT
EXCELEBRATION :Improving sort finished credible second behind Frankel in Greenham at Newbury in April beaten 4 lenghs on fast ground .Followed that with impressive 7 lengh win in German 2000 guineas in Cologne on soft ground.Open to plenty improvement and proven over 1 mile on easy ground
VERDICT : Interesting betting race in W/O Frankel market which looks to concern just four horses.Wootton Bassett ,Excelebration ,Dream Ahead and Dubawi Gold .
Wootton Bassett high class 2 year old winning 5 times including group one Grand Criterium at Longchamp in October.Could only manage disappointing fifth in French guineas in May after probably going off too fast .Still big question mark about him staying a mile in this company.
Dream Ahead joint top rated 2 year old after winning the group one Middle Park at Newmarket by nine lenghs on soft ground .Disappointed in Dewhurst behind Frankel in October finishing well beaten fifth .Not ran this season and all three wins have been over 6 furlongs, looks very doubtful stayer over 1 mile.
Dubawi Gold shown big improvement since switching stables to Richard Hannon ,won two listed contests over 1 mile at Lingfield in spring ,went on to finish good second in both English & Irish 2000 guineas .
EXCELEBRATION looks to be improving with every race and did give Frankel some kind race in Greenham has proven form over 1 mile on easy ground .3-1 looks fair value with big question marks about both Dream Ahead and Wootton Bassett over this trip.Dubawi Gold looks the main danger after finishing second in two classics over 1 mile.
EXCELEBRATION 3.45 ROYAL ASCOT BETTING W/O FRANKEL
£113 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 WILLIAM HILLS (SECOND 3-1)
5% OF BETTING BANK
LOSS - £45.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4465
LOSS - £45.00 BANK RUNNING TOTAL £4465
Too many questionmarks in this race - outside of FRANKEL - for me. If push came to shove, I would be looking at the Japanese horse GRAND PRIX BOSS at 7/1 (w/o the fav) as he has top-class form in Japan over a mile, which most in this race don't have (other than FRANKEL).
ReplyDeleteAll the best.
Jerry,
ReplyDeleteAnother cashing wager and the bank is growing. Wait until the winners arrive.
All the best.
Jake
Thanks Jake
ReplyDeleteA few more winners would be nice ,though most bets seem be running lot better this month.