Two claiming races on Friday (1.45 Lingfield) & (4.30 Wolverhampton)
1.45 LINGFIELD 10F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6 :
Just seven runners declared for this 10 furlong claimer at Lingfield .This looks three runner race with Junoob,Beat of The Blues & Dr Livingstone well clear on offical handicap ratings .
JUNOOB formerly trained by John Dunlop won on his first start for Amy Weather at Kempton in 12 furlong claimer, did well to win that day in steadily run race, coming from off the pace to win with bit in hand at finish
Beat of the Blues has 6LB pull in the weights with Junoob for 0.75 lengh beating at Kempton ,though seemed to have the run of the race that day and may struggle to reverse form even with 6lb pull
Dr Livingstone came back to form last time winning in good style in four runner, 12 furlong claimer at Kempton beating Scampadale by 2.5 lenghs in race run at crawl (15 seconds slower than standard)
VERDICT : JUNOOB won nicely last time and can confirm the form with Beat of the Blues .Dr Livingstone has to be respected and looks the main danger .Looking at the prices JUNOOB looks most likely winner though at around 15-8 represents little value .
( NO BET RACE )
4.30 WOLVERHAMPTON 9F CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
Open looking 0-70 classified claimer with nine course winners .Opus Maximus ,Ajdaad and Spinning Ridge look the three to concentrate on.
OPUS MAXIMUS has been great form this year winning four times.(Last three wins in claimers) Finished good second yesterday over C&D in class 5 handicap behind the well treated Greyfriarschorista .Will be suited returning to claiming company.
Ajdaad goes well here at Wolverhampton dual C&D winner this season winning handicap in November off mark 65 .Looked unlucky last time when badly hampered in handicap behind Pipers Piping .
Spinning Ridge dual course winner been in good form this year winning four times.Finished close second last time behind Winged Valkirie over C&D off mark 68 .Drops into claiming company for first time.
VERDICT : OPUS MAXIMUS ran well here yesterday in handicap off mark 70 on his first start for Conor Dore .Has decent record in claiming races this year winning 3 from 8 and is best in at the weights. 3-1 looks fair value . Both Ajaad and Spinning Ridge look the main two dangers having been in good form this season .
TODAYS BEST BET :
OPUS MAXIMUS 4.30 WOLVERHAMPTON
(WINNER SP 7-2 ) +£420 / 4.20 PTS
1PT EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET 365 ,PADDY POWER ,LADBROKES,BOYLESPORTS
BEST PRICE GUARANTEE
STAKING :1 TO 3 POINTS :
MY PERSONAL BETS ARE £100 PER POINT:
Hi
ReplyDeleteYou've said your bets are £100/point - are you not sticking with the 5% of bank? That seemed to work well.
Neil
Hi Neil
ReplyDeleteNo making fresh start with staking will be using
1 to 3 points on each bet.With each bet having different strength I found the 5% of betting bank wasn't really working.
I seemed to have bigger stakes on the losers and lesser stake on the winners.I think this staking method will work out much better.
Thanks
Jerry
Hey Jerry
ReplyDeleteWell done with your assessment of the 1:45 at Kempton.
I appreciate you giving advice about races that you are not having a bet in, as your write ups are always insightful.
Good Luck with Opus Maximus mate.
Mark
Oop! Lingfield 1:45 :-)
ReplyDeleteWell done Jerry
ReplyDeleteYour back with a BANG and a useful drift in price to 7/2 so A BOG bonus as well:-)
Mark
Excellent start Jerry! Well done.
ReplyDeleteThanks for good feedback guys, nice to get good start and given excellent ride by Kirsty :-)
ReplyDeleteCheers
Jerry
Welcome back Jerry and thanks for the winner.
ReplyDeleteGreat stuff, Jerry. That's what I like to see. I'm going to call you the Claimer King. Well done.
ReplyDeleteJason