On Tuesday we have two claiming races at Wolverhampton & Southwell .The 6 furlong claiming stakes at Wolverhampton 2.45 looks very competitive race with 13 runners declared for what looks very difficult to solve sprint claimer.
Going concentrate on the 3 year old claiming stakes at Southwell's evening fixture were 10 runners are declared for 1 mile claimer.
7.05 SOUTHWELL 1 MILE CLAIMING STAKES CLASS 6
10 runners declared for 1 mile claiming stakes on the fibresand at Southwell .This looks quite tricky little claimer with the three main contenders being Daddy Warbucks ,For Richer & Frederickthegreat .
DADDY WARBUCKS : Won twice over 7 furlongs including winning here at Southwell in class 5 handicap in March off mark 68 .Finished fair second last time at Musselburgh in handicap over 1 mile .
FOR RICHER: Won 6 furlong maiden here at Southwell last June by 4 lenghs .Best run since when finishing third in 7 furlong handicap at Wolverhampton in June off mark 75 .Has stamina to prove trying mile for first time .
FREDERICKTHEGREAT :Finished good second in 9 furlong handicap at Wolverhampton in November off mark 64 .Hasn't shown much in two runs this season ,though trainer Hughie Morrison has good record at Southwell and will be suited dropping into claiming company .
VERDICT: This looks very weak 3 year old claimer with question marks about most of the runners .
For Richer: Looks well treated at the weights in this claimer and has won at Southwell on the fibresand ,though there has to be big doubt about this longer trip.
Frederickthegreat : Has to bounce back after two disappointing runs,though will stay this trip and may be suited switching to the fibresand .Trainer Hughie Morrison has excellent record at Southwell with 50% strike rate in 2012 with 9 from 18 .
DADDY WARBUCKS :Looks the most solid here having already won handicap on the fibresand at Southwell and finished fair second last time at Musselburgh.Will also be suited returning to claiming company .Odds around 11-4 look fair value in this weak looking 3 year old claimer .
TUESDAY 10TH JULY CLAIMING BET :
DADDY WARBUCKS 7.05 SOUTHWELL
0.50 PTS EACH-WAY @ 11-4 BET365* PADDY POWER* BET VICTOR*
(WINNER SP 7-4 PROFIT +£165.00 / 1.65 )
Best price guarantee*
Another winner for you Jerry. Picking your spots carefully is the key to success in the long-term, I am still working to this goal.
ReplyDeleteJake
Hi Jerry,
ReplyDeleteLong time no speak, but always taking an interest in your blog. I've given you a plug on both our websites today to show our thanks for your support.
Best wishes,
Jason