For Thursday's best bet we go to Southwell for interesting little 5 furlong 0-70 classified claiming stakes on fibresand.
12.50 SOUTHWELL 5F CLASSIFIED CLAIMING STAKES 0-70 CLASS 6:
8 runners declared for 5 furlong 0-70 classified claiming stakes on fibresand at Southwell .The three main contenders are Shawkantango ,Quality Art & R Woody
SHAWKANTANGO : Six time course & distance winner at Southwell ,Been in good form winning two of last three starts,including winning classified claimer over C&D at Southwell last time .Should go well in similar race & goes particularly well for claimer Adam Mclean .
QUALITY ART :Won handicap over C&D at Southwell in December off mark 60 ,though after travelling well found very little in closing stages last time when finishing third behind Shawkantango in claimer over C&D .Should be thereabouts ,though has bit to find at these weights.
R WOODY : C&D winner at Southwell ,Finished fair second in claimer at Wolverhampton last time behind Dark Lane , not the easiest horse to win with, 1 win from last 20 starts .Though fairly treated at weights and can't be ruled out in weak race .
VERDICT : Course specialist SHAWKANTANGO can record this seventh course & distance win at Southwell .As normal he needed plenty rousting along when winning claimer last time,though was well on top at the finish .Looks the one to beat in weak looking race.
SHAWKANTANGO 12.50 SOUTHWELL
£50.00 WIN @ 5.00 BETFAIR*
£50.00 PLACE @ 1.70 BETFAIR*
Keep in play*
Traded high 8-1 in running. Betfair SP 5.11 .All bets matched :-)
(WINNER SP 3-1 PROFIT £223.00 )
Slightly unusual bet here SHAWKANTANGO always trades bigger in running so the recommended bet is to back in running at (5.00) for win & (1.70) for place .Has traded high (24) (14) (3.85) (12) (12) (15) for his last 6 wins all lot bigger than his SP .
Current odds are 11-4 ,though I expect to comfortably get matched at 4-1 in running as he always needs rousting along in early stages and traded at high 23-1 when winning last time here at Southwell.
Nice work, Jerry.
ReplyDeleteThanks Jason ,Worked out well ,went off 5.11 on betfair .No problem getting matched .
ReplyDeleteYes, it proves the worth of knowing horse's running style and taking advantage of Betfair. Certainly those who got the biggest prices must have been overjoyed. Good start to the New Year.
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