After taking little break the blog returns on Saturday for decent looking card at Newbury with highlight the group one Lockinge Stakes over 1 mile at 3.50
This doesn't look the strongest looking group one race and Olympic Glory is clearly the one beat on last years QE11 form ,though would probably prefer softer ground and at around 11-10 mark on his first start of the season is not betting proposition for me .
For the blogs main bet we concentrate on 1 mile 5 furlong Aston Park listed stakes at 2.05 .
2.05 NEWBURY JLT ASTON PARK LISTED STAKES 1 MILE 5 FURLONGS:
10 runners declared for decent looking listed contest over extended 13 furlongs on ground described as good .The three main contenders look to be Forgotten Voice , Mount Athos & Sky Hunter .
FORGOTTEN VOICE : Fair sort for Jeremy Noseda back in 2009 ,including winning Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot ,returned to form over hurdles back in 2012/13 for Nicky Henderson .Also Won twice on flat last season including G3 Glorious Stakes at Goodwood in August .
MOUNT ATHOS : Decent performer when getting sound surface, winning 8 times from 30 starts .Had some useful form last season including winning G3 Ormande stakes at Chester by 9 lenghs also finished very creditable third in Melbourne Cup .Ran with credit at Meydan in March finishing close third in City Of Gold G2 stakes .
SKY HUNTER : Won four times for Andre Fabre back in 2012/13 ,also finished excellent third in French Derby behind Intello .Very disappointing on his first start for Saeed Bin Suroor, finishing well beaten fifth behind Noble Mission in Gordon Richard stakes in April .
VERDICT : MOUNT ATHOS taking drop in class can return to winning ways in JLT Aston Park stakes .Looked as good as ever when finishing close third behind Excellent Result in G2 at Meydan in March .Looks more than capable taking this listed contest ,with drying ground conditions also in his favour .Odds around 3-1 look fair value .
Forgotten Voice looks the main danger, had some decent form last season for Nicky Henderson,including winning in G3 company and normally goes well fresh .
MOUNT ATHOS 2.05 NEWBURY
£50.00 EACH-WAY @ 3-1 BET365*
1/4 ODDS 1-2-3
(WINNER SP 7-2 PROFIT £218.00)
Best price guarantee *
Welcome back Jerry. Nice to return with a winner after your break. Cheers Kev
ReplyDeleteThanks Kev ,yeah won nicely, 7-2 was decent price, with three non runners in the race .
ReplyDeleteCheers
Jerry