Tuesday, November 05, 2024

Del Mar Breeders Cup 2024 Preview

The Breeders' Cup World Championships is an annual series of Grade I Thoroughbred horse races, operated by Breeders' Cup Limited, a company formed in 1982. From its inception in 1984 through 2006, it was a single-day event; starting in 2007, it expanded to two days. All sites have been in the United States, except in 1996, when the races were at the Woodbine Racetrack in Canada.

The Breeders’ Cup is one of the richest two days in sports, with $34 million paid out in purses and awards over the entire weekend. Winnings are paid out to owners, stallion nominators, and foal nominators. Owners are paid through the tenth finish position and share their winnings with their trainer and jockey on their own terms.

Del Mar, “Where the Turf Meets the Surf,” will serve as the World Championships host site for a third time. With its breathtaking location, Del Mar is unique in its picturesque natural backdrop, and its village town center promises to attract domestic and international visitors seeking beautiful beaches, award-winning cuisine, and boutique hotels.

The Del Mar Fairgrounds is an event venue in Del Mar, California. It hosts the annual San Diego County Fair. The venue sits on a 370-acre (1.5 km2) property along the Pacific Ocean coastline. It includes the Del Mar Racetrack, built in 1936 by the Del Mar Thoroughbred Club, with founding member Bing Crosby providing leadership.[1]

 


Del Mar runs all of its races left-handed. It has a one-mile oval with chutes for seven furlong and ten-furlong races. There is also a turf course that is a a seven-eighths mile oval with a diagonal straightaway chute for 8.5 furlong races and 9 furlong races.

As far as track trends go, it changes around but generally speaking the dirt races have a little bit of an outside flow, or perhaps more accurately, the rail is often not the place you want to be.


 

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race conditions  £724,409 guaranteed For  2yo fillies Penalty value  1st  £409,448.82 2nd  £133,858.27 3rd  £70,866.14 4th  £39,370.08 5th  £23,622.05 6th  £15,748.03 7th  £7,874.02 8th  £7,874.02 9th  £7,874.02 10th  £7,874.02 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS :
(1) LAKE VICTORIA (126) (2) HEAVENS GATE (112) (3) FIERY LUCY (111) (3) THOUGHT PROCESS (111)
 
The unbeaten Aidan O'Brien filly LAKE VICTORIA  stands out on form ,winning all her four starts , including winning the Cheveley Park stakes at Newmarket in impressive style last time .Already ante-post favourite for next years 1000 guineas.The step up to mile should suit this powerfull frankel filly . Odds evens or bigger look very fair value, in not the strongest looking contest .

Of the others the Aidan O'Brien second string Heavens Gate has place claims after winning 3 out 7 this season ,including winning the G3 Weld Stakes at Curragh last time .
 
Thought Process looks best of the American horses ,after winning her last three starts , including winning the group three Surfer Girl Stakes at Santa Anita last time , though that form is nothing special and will need plenty improvement to land this G1 contest .
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Prevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £409,449 12 runners 5f Firm SK/RT
 
race conditions  £724,409 guaranteed For  3yo+ Penalty value  1st  £409,448.82 2nd  £133,858.27 3rd  £70,866.14 4th  £39,370.08 5th  £23,622.05 6th  £15,748.03 7th  £7,874.02 8th  £7,874.02 9th  £7,874.02 10th  £7,874.02 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS
(1) COGBURN (131) (2) BRADSELL (128) (3) STARLUST (125) 
 
The speedy American five-year-old COGBURN has excellent record on turf, winning 5 out 6, including winning the G1 Jaipur Stakes at Saratoga in June, that form looks very solid, beating the Charlie Appleby (116) rated Star Of Mystery by 4L .Should take plenty of beating in this 5f contest .Odds 6-4 or bigger are very fair.
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race conditions  £1,448,819 guaranteed For  3yo+ fillies & mares Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 4lb Penalty value  1st  £818,897.64 2nd  £267,716.54 3rd  £141,732.28 4th  £78,740.16 5th  £47,244.09 6th  £31,496.06 7th  £15,748.03 8th  £15,748.03 9th  £15,748.03 10th  £15,748.03 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS :  
(1) WAR LIKE GODDESS (125) (2) CONTENT (124) (2) MOIRA (124)
 
Open looking filly and Mare contest, with the Charlie Appleby trained three-year-old Cinderella's Dream the clear favourite at around 11-4 , after winning 6 out 7 , only defeat coming in 1000 guineas. Has to be respected , though 11-4 looks short enough being unproven over this longer trip .

At the prices the consistent seven-year-old mare WAR LIKES GODDESS looks the each-way value here at around 5-1 , has been in good form this season , including finishing good second in G1 Joe Hirsch classic last time .Has previously finished placed in Breeders Cup back in 2021 & 2022 .Goes well here at Del Mar , including winning over C&D in July .Looks solid each-way bet ,especially with bookmakers paying 4 places 

The Aidan O 'Brien trained Content looks possible danger on her early season form , including winning the Yorkshire Oaks on fast ground , though will need to bounce back after two disappointing on soft ground .

Best of the others look to be Moira who finished good third in this race last year behind Inspiral , looks open to further improvement over this slightly longer trip .

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FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile presented by PDJF (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £818,898 12 runners 1m Firm SK/RT

 
race conditions  £1,448,819 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 2lb Penalty value  1st  £818,897.64 2nd  £267,716.54 3rd  £141,732.28 4th  £78,740.16 5th  £47,244.09 6th  £31,496.06 7th  £15,748.03 8th  £15,748.03 9th  £15,748.03 10th  £15,748.03 
 
JBB FORM RATINGS :
(1) NOTABLE SPEECH (130) (2) PORTA FORTUNA (126) (3) RAMATUELLE (125)
 
2000 Guineas winner NOTABLE SPEECH  should go well now back on fast surface , was disappointing fifth in Prix de Moulin at Longchamp last time , though that was on very testing ground , had previously won the G1 Sussex Stakes at Goodwood in good style on fast ground .The Charlie Appleby stable have excellent record in the race ,winning the Breeders Cup mile for the last three years .Odds 3-1 or bigger are solid value.

The Irish filly Porta Fortuna rates as the main danger ,after having excellent season , winning 3 out 4 ,her only defeat coming in 1000 Guineas at Newmarket back in May, was impressive winner of the G1 Matron Stakes at Leopardstown back in September .This improving filly looks sure go well
 
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RECOMMENDED BETS BREEDERS CUP FRIDAY 1ST NOVEMBER 2024

LAKE VICTORIA 11.05 BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
3PTS WIN @ 11-10 (BET365) (BETFRED)(LADBROKES) (UNIBET)(888 SPORT )
(WINNER SP 4-7 PROFIT + 3.30 PTS )

RECOMMENDED BETS BREEDERS CUP SATURDAY 2ND NOVEMBER 2024

COGBURN 7.41 BREEDERS CUP TURF SPRINT
2PTS WIN @ 13-8 UNIBET OR 6-4 WITH MOST OTHER FIRMS 
(FIFTH SP 4-5 LOSS -2.00 PTS )
 
WAR LIKE GODDESS 10.25 BREEDERS CUP FILLY & MARE TURF
1PT EACH-WAY @ 5-1 MOST FIRMS 1/5 ODDS 1-2-3-4 .
FIFTH SP 9-2 LOSS -2.00 PTS)

NOTABLE SPEECH 11.45 BREEDERS CUP TURF MILE 
2PTS WIN @ 3-1 888 SPORT .
(THIRD SP 9-4 LOSS -2.00 PTS )
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TOTAL STAKED (9.00 PTS) RETURN (6.30 PTS) LOSS (2.70 PTS)
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