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Thursday, November 21, 2024

Japan Cup Preview Sunday 24th Nov 2024

No Luck last Saturday with two seconds at Newcastle , frustrating day with Dubai Honour looking very unlucky loser when repeaterly denied clear run in Churchill Stakes,though that's racing as they say . 

Moving on to Sunday we have cracking group one contest .The 44th running of the Japan Cup from Tokyo .

The Japan Cup (ジャパンカップ, Japan Kappu, JPN G-1) is one of the most prestigious horse races in Japan. It is contested on the last Sunday of November, post time of 15:40 /6.40 GMT at Tokyo Racecourse in Fuchu, Tokyo at a distance of 2400 meters (about 1+12 miles) run under weight for age conditions with a maximum of 18 horses on turf (grass). With a purse of ¥1,085 million (about US$8.3 million), the Japan Cup is one of the richest races in the world.[2]

The Japan Cup is an invitational event. During a relatively short history, the race has established itself as an international contest with winners from Japan, North America, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, France, Germany and Italy.

The Japan Racing Association established the Japan Cup as an international invitational race in order for local racehorses to have the opportunity to compete against horses of an international calibre and to promote goodwill within the racing community worldwide.

(Purse value for 2023-onwards running)[3]

Total JPN ¥1,085,000,000 (about US$8.3 million) with over £3.1 million to the winner and possible £2.37 million bonus for international runners .

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Japan Cup (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) (3yo+) Winner £2,784,585 14 runners 1m4f Good To Firm

race conditions  £5,318,556 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 5lb Penalty value  1st  £2,784,584.54 2nd  £1,113,833.82 3rd  £723,991.98 4th  £417,687.68 5th  £278,458.45
 
JBB RATINGS : 
(1) GOLIATH (133) (2) DO DEUCE (130) (2) AUGUSTE RODIN (130) (2) CERVINIA (130)
 
The French raider GOLIATH stands out on his King George V1 form at Ascot in July, that was impressive perfomance beating the subsequent ARC winner Bluestocking and Breeders Cup Turf winner Rebels Romance in good style .Unable to run in the ARC being gelding ,the Japan Cup has been his main target for some time .Made winning return in G2 company at Longchamp last month .Handles most types of ground, having won on good/firm and heavy. Odds around 6-1 look fair each-way value .
 
Six time group one winner Auguste Rodin looks one the main contenders on his best form, though has become bit inconsistent this season, including finishing well beaten 10L fifth behind Goliath in King George,  though did finish creditable second in Irish Champion Stakes behind Economics in September .
 
Best of the Japanese horses look to be Do Deuce & Cervinia .

The three-year-old filly Cervinia looks interesting runner after winning her last races in G1 company , including winning Japanese Oaks over C&D in May .Returned after five month break to win the G1 Shuka Sho in October, has to be respected receiving 9lb from her main rivals, though odds around 11-4 look short enough taking on some top class older male rivals for first time.

Do Deuce  is useful sort on his day, finished fair fourth in this race last year behind Equinox, also won the G1 Tenna Sho last time over 1M 2F, though was soundly beaten twice in France last season on soft ground. Every chance on pick of his form ,though odds around 10-3 dont make much appeal.
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RECOMMENDED BET 

GOLIATH 6.40 TOKYO JAPAN CUP
1PT EACH-WAY @ 6-1 BET365 (1/4 ODDS 1-2-3 )
(SIXTH TOTE ODDS 148/10 LOSS-2.00PTS )

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