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Thursday, November 14, 2024

Newcastle Preview Saturday 16th November 2024

Good start to All Weather season , with nice William Haggas double landed on Wednesday at Lingfield, with over 18pts profit .

Moving on to Saturday, Interesting All Weather card from Newcastle , with two decent looking listed contests to start the card .

The Churchill Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. It is run over a distance of 1 mile and 2 furlongs (2,012 metres). From 2000-2023 it was run at at Lingfield Park in November. However as part of the policy of running down and diminishing the racing programme at Lingfield Park, from 2024 the race will move to Newcastle Racecourse. Given Sir Winston Churchill's links to the area surrounding Lingfield - his residence at Chartwell and his stud at West Park Road Newchapel, on the outskirts of Lingfield village, less than two miles from Lingfield Park - it is a disgrace that this race was moved to the North East of England. However, Arena Racing Corporation know best.

BetUK Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £28,355 10 runners 1m2f42y Standard ITV (STALLS Outside)
 
 
race conditions  £50,000 guaranteed For  3yo+ Weights  3yo colts & geldings 9st 1lb; fillies 8st 10lb; 4yo+ colts & geldings 9st 4lb; fillies 8st 13lb Penalties  after March 31st, 2024, a winner of a Listed race 3lb; of a Group 3 race 5lb; of a Group 1 or Group 2 race 7lb Weight for age  3yo from 4yo+ 3lb Entries  11 pay £250 Penalty value  1st  £28,355.00 2nd  £10,750.00 3rd  £5,380.00 4th  £2,680.00 5th  £1,345.00 6th  £675.00 
 
JBB RATINGS : (1) DUBAI HONOUR (117) (1) PEACE MAN (117) (3) TYRRENIAN SEA (114)
 
The William Haggas trained six-year-old gelding DUBAI HONOUR , looks the class act here having already won in G1 company this season in Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud , also finished creditable second in G1 in Germany in September.Lightly raced on All Weather , though bolted up in listed company at Kempton in April .Has to race under 7lb G1 penalty , though should take plenty of beating with this big drop in class .Odds around 9-4 look very fair value .
 
The progressive five-year-old Peaceman  looks the main danger , after finishing close second in listed company at Newmarket two weeks ago , that was decent effort only beaten nose behind the 112 rated Bolster . Gets handy 7lb pull in the weights with Dubai Honour , though not raced on All Weather since his debut in 2023 . Interesting contender .
 
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The Golden Rose Stakes is a Listed flat horse race in Great Britain open to horses aged three years or older. From 2007-2023 it was run at Lingfield Park over a distance of 6 furlongs and 1 yard (1,028 metres), and it is scheduled to take place each year in November. However as part of the policy of running down and diminishing the racing programme at Lingfield Park, from 2024 the race will move to Newcastle Racecourse.[1]

JBB FORM RATINGS :
(1) ANNAF (118) (2) WILLIAM TWEE (116) (3) NIGHT RAIDER (113) (3) WILTSHIRE (113) 
 
The five-year-old entire  ANNAF has excellent record on All Weather ,winning 5 out 11 (23111724121) , including winning twice here at Newcastle. Has proven record in higher grade , winning in G2 & G3  company ,including winning the big 2 million dollar Saudi turf Sprint at Riyadh in February . Should go well returning to listed company .Odds around 3-1 or bigger look solid value .
 
William Twee looks intresting contender on pick of is All Weather form , including winning this race last year at Lingfield , also finished good third over C&D in G3 Chipchase Stakes at Newcastsle in June . 

Of the others C&D winner Wiltshire has each-way claims for in-form William Haggas stable , has unbeaten record on All Weather 3 out 3 , though is 0 out 3 in listed & group company, can't be ruled out in open looking sprint .
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RECOMMENDED BETS SATURDAY 16TH NOVEMBER 

DUBAI HONOUR 3.15 NEWCASTLE CHURCHILL LISTED STAKES 
2PTS WIN @ 9-4 WILLIAM HILLS & SKYBET 
(SECOND SP 13-8 LOSS 2.00 PTS )

ANNAF 3.48 NEWCASTLE GOLDEN ROSE LISTED STAKES 
1PT WIN @ 10-3 SKYBET 
(SECOND SP 10-3 LOSS 1.00 PT )
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0.50 PTS WIN DOUBLE @ 13.08-1 SKYBET 
SECOND & SECOND LOSS 0.50 PTS 
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TOTAL LOSS 3.50 PTS

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